Coming soon · in build · screens are the design target, figures illustrative
Energy Transition Capital/Enterprise module

Five public instruments from five agencies finance one project. Any one can be reversed.
See the whole stack.

Loan guarantees, grants, tax credits, state incentives, and auction contracts, keyed to the project and the policy each depends on, so you can see what is in the stack, what can reverse it, and what it clears at.

For infrastructure and energy investors, project finance teams, developers, utilities, and the advisors who structure the stack.
What is in the stackEvery public instrument on a project as a row and a block: committed, awarded, or a credit with no served figure, each keyed to its agency.
What can reverseSignals keyed to the policy anchor each instrument depends on, and terminations in the same program cohort, shown as counts and dates.
What it clears atAuction strike and clearing prices by technology across markets, at award date, with unpublished prices left on the ladder and withheld.
6
Instrument lanes
16
Markets read
5
Instruments on a typical stack
7
Evidence layers
Screens below are the design target for the module. Figures are illustrative until the module ships.
committed or awardedcredit, no figure servedreversal signal
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01What is in the stack

One project. Every public instrument.

Guarantees, grants, incentives, auction contracts, and credits from five agencies, each keyed to the policy it depends on, drawn as a stack and served as a ledger. The credit with no served figure is drawn with no height.

Capital stack · electrolytic hydrogen project

one project · five public instruments · $1.42B committed and awarded · n=5
Loan guarantee · federal$620M · conditional
Grant · program office$312M · awarded
State incentive$140M
Auction contract · 15 yr$348M · strike
Tax credit · statuteno figure served

Ledger

every instrument as a row · keyed to agency and policy anchor
InstrumentFinancierAnchorFigureStage
Loan guaranteeFederal loan officeTitle XVII$620Mconditional commitment · Mar 2026
GrantProgram office, hydrogen hubsInfrastructure act, hubs$312Mawarded · Nov 2025
State incentiveState energy officeState statute$140Mcommitted · Jan 2026
Auction contractSystem operatorAuction round 6$348M · 15 yrstrike published · Jun 2026
Tax creditTreasuryIRC §45Vno figure servedeligible · guidance revision proposed
Notice to award, same program, same instrument214 d median · n=38
Commitment to close, this financier, over $500M11.5 mo median · n=19
02What can reverse

Exposure is a count, not a probability.

Every instrument depends on a policy anchor. The module reads the signals keyed to each anchor and the terminations in the same program cohort, and labels the exposure from those counts and dates. It never states odds.

Reversal exposure · this project

signals keyed to each policy anchor · 90 days · plus cohort terminations
IRC §45V · tax credit3 legislative signals · guidance revision
Infrastructure act, hubs · grant1 appropriations signal · funded
Title XVII · loan guarantee0 signals
Auction round 6 · contract0 signals · contract signed
program cohort · hydrogen hubs · 41 awards since Jan 2025
Terminated in cohort2 of 41
Exposure is a label from counts and dates. No probability appears anywhere in the module.

The signals

keyed to the policy anchor · dated
02 Sep 2026
Committee markup · narrows §45V eligibility window
19 Aug 2026
Guidance revision proposed · hourly matching timeline
04 Aug 2026
Hearing · credit cost estimate revised
22 Jul 2026
Appropriations report · hubs program funded at request
11 Jun 2026
Cohort award terminated · hub project, different state
03What it clears at

Strike and clearing prices, across markets.

Auction results by technology and market, converted at award-date FX, so a project's contract can be read against what the same technology cleared at elsewhere. A price that was not published stays on the ladder, withheld.

Auction ladder · what it clears at

strike and clearing prices by technology · USD per MWh at award date · cross-market
Offshore wind · UK round 6Sep 2024
$104 / MWh
Offshore wind · US, state solicitationJan 2026
$124 / MWh
Onshore wind · DE roundMay 2026
$73 / MWh
Solar PV · DE roundJun 2026
$54 / MWh
Solar PV · IN, central agencyJul 2026
$34 / MWh
Electrolytic hydrogen · this projectJun 2026 · 15 yr
$348M contract · price withheld
Storage · AU tenderAug 2026
not published
Prices converted at award-date FX and left in nominal terms. Rows with no published price stay on the ladder with the price withheld.
05Workbench

Objects left. Links center. Evidence right.

Select a project and the picture redraws as its stack: the instruments, the agencies behind them, the policy anchors they depend on, the cohort of awards under the same program, the signals on the anchor. The dossier serves the stack ledger, reversal exposure with its counts, and the timing from notice to award and from commitment to close.

app.svatantra.ai / energy-transition / workbench
Svatantra
Ent
Projects1,104
Electrolytic hydrogen · Meridian
Offshore wind · round 6
Grid storage · AU
Instruments6 lanes
Loan guarantees
Grants
Tax credits
State incentives
Auction contracts
Equity
Financiers
Federal loan office
Program office, hubs
Policy anchors
IRC §45V
Title XVII
Cohorts
Hydrogen hubs · 41 awards
Electrolytic hydrogen project · stack
keyed to anchors

Capital stack · electrolytic hydrogen project

one project · five public instruments · $1.42B committed and awarded · n=5
Loan guarantee · federal$620M · conditional
Grant · program office$312M · awarded
State incentive$140M
Auction contract · 15 yr$348M · strike
Tax credit · statuteno figure served

Ledger

every instrument as a row · keyed to agency and policy anchor
InstrumentFinancierAnchorFigureStage
Loan guaranteeFederal loan officeTitle XVII$620Mconditional commitment · Mar 2026
GrantProgram office, hydrogen hubsInfrastructure act, hubs$312Mawarded · Nov 2025
State incentiveState energy officeState statute$140Mcommitted · Jan 2026
Auction contractSystem operatorAuction round 6$348M · 15 yrstrike published · Jun 2026
Tax creditTreasuryIRC §45Vno figure servedeligible · guidance revision proposed
Notice to award, same program, same instrument214 d median · n=38
Commitment to close, this financier, over $500M11.5 mo median · n=19
credit drawn with no height
Electrolytic hydrogen project
project · sponsor resolved · 5 instruments · 4 financiers

Stack

committed and awarded
Public capital$1.42B · n=5
Credit, no figure served1 · §45V
Commitment to close11.5 mo median · n=19

Reversal exposure

counts and dates
Signals on §45V, 90 d3
Cohort terminated2 of 41
LabelElevated

Clears at

auction contract
Contract$348M · 15 yr
Pricewithheld · not published
Nearest published, same technone
basis: financier to instrument (attributed) / signal to anchor (keyed)
award-date FX · cohort index 2026-09 · anchor lexicon v1
no probability anywhere · figures carry n
06Board and canvas

Build the case by dragging. Every card fills itself from the record.

Drop a project, an instrument, a financier, or a policy anchor onto the board. Ties carry the figure, the basis, and the n. A tax credit with no served figure stays on the board as a block with no height, because the record does not give it one.

app.svatantra.ai / energy-transition / board
Svatantra
Ent
Export memoAnchor calendar (.ics)Stack viewCohort lensAsk the boardas of: 11 Sep 2026
attributedkeyeddated
Live: drag the cards
project
Electrolytic hydrogen · Meridian
Public capital$1.42B · n=5
Reversal exposureElevated
instrument
Loan guarantee · $620M
FinancierFederal loan office
Stageconditional
policy anchor
IRC §45V
Signals, 90 d3
Instruments depending1 · credit
cohort
Hydrogen hubs · 41 awards
Terminated2 of 41
Median to award214 d · n=38
suggested
+ 3 links
1 financier · 1 auction · 1 sponsor
KeepDismiss
Served rows only. A credit with no figure is a block with no height. Exposure is a label from counts; no probability appears on the board.
08Evidence

Seven layers on every figure.

Nothing on a ledger, a board, or a memo is computed on the fly from a model. It is served from the record, with its basis and its n. The standard is the same on the first day the module ships.

1Source attribution
2Statistical transparency
3Methodology disclosure
4Outcome logging
5Confidence framework
6Dissenting evidence
7Audit trail

Bring a project. Leave with the stack.

The module is in build. Design partners get the first seats, a monthly call with the founder, and a say in what the workbench serves first. Bring your own projects to the walkthrough.